Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-0807:15Busch Stadium

Royals

Away

2-5

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0
Cardinals	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	X	5	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.3

Royals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.7

Royals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Cardinals defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Cardinals offense × Royals defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 75% · Season 58% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+3pp

7–9 Late

47%

-6pp

F5 first five

59%

+4pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 443Runs Allowed 534

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 435Runs Allowed 482

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	22% 24/108	21% 23/108	#232% 35/108	29% 31/108	#331% 33/108	21% 23/108	#133% 36/108	22% 23/104	27% 22/81	67% 2/3
Royals	RA	31% 33/108	29% 31/108	32% 35/108	#136% 39/108	33% 36/108	31% 33/108	21% 23/107	#235% 36/104	#334% 26/76	33% 1/3
Cardinals	R	#232% 35/109	#330% 33/109	#133% 36/109	22% 24/109	24% 26/109	22% 24/109	21% 23/108	19% 20/105	25% 20/79	86% 6/7
Cardinals	RA	#328% 30/109	24% 26/109	27% 29/109	#228% 31/109	28% 30/109	#130% 33/109	27% 29/108	26% 27/105	17% 13/77	14% 1/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.