Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-0707:10Great American Ball Park

Pirates

Away

0-10

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1
Reds	7	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	X	10	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Pirates scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

46%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 46%

Heating upCombined vs league +40pp

Inn.1

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.7

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Reds defense

45%R 44% · RA 45%

Reds offense × Pirates defense

46%R 47% · RA 46%

Sample 13Combined vs league +40pp

Last 20 91% · Season 51% · +40pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-3pp

7–9 Late

65%

+12pp

F5 first five

58%

+2pp

F9 full game

60%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 400Runs Allowed 556

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 539Runs Allowed 536

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#127% 29/109	23% 25/109	22% 24/109	21% 23/109	20% 22/109	#227% 29/109	#323% 25/107	22% 22/102	21% 18/87	67% 6/9
Pirates	RA	#141% 45/109	#239% 42/109	34% 37/109	23% 25/109	27% 29/109	#338% 41/109	32% 34/107	24% 25/103	26% 17/66	33% 3/9
Reds	R	#330% 33/109	28% 30/109	#133% 36/109	24% 26/109	29% 32/109	25% 27/108	#232% 35/108	24% 26/107	27% 22/83	75% 15/20
Reds	RA	#136% 39/109	24% 26/109	25% 27/109	27% 29/109	#229% 32/109	27% 29/108	24% 26/108	#329% 31/107	28% 25/88	60% 12/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.