Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-0508:15Busch Stadium

Braves

Away

7-4

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	3	0	7	10	0
Cardinals	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Braves scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.7

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 37%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Cardinals defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Cardinals offense × Braves defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 75% · Season 49% · +26pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+4pp

7–9 Late

47%

-6pp

F5 first five

57%

+1pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 514Runs Allowed 461

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 423Runs Allowed 465

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#334% 37/108	19% 21/108	30% 32/108	24% 26/108	#235% 38/108	#139% 42/108	30% 32/107	24% 23/96	24% 18/75	36% 4/11
Braves	RA	#231% 33/108	19% 21/108	#330% 32/108	25% 27/108	29% 31/108	23% 25/108	#131% 33/106	28% 27/96	27% 21/77	82% 9/11
Cardinals	R	#231% 33/106	#330% 32/106	#133% 35/106	22% 23/106	24% 25/106	22% 23/106	20% 21/105	20% 20/102	26% 20/77	86% 6/7
Cardinals	RA	#228% 30/106	25% 26/106	26% 28/106	27% 29/106	27% 29/106	#129% 31/106	#328% 29/105	25% 25/102	18% 13/74	14% 1/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.