Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-0501:10Tropicana Field

Mariners

Away

3-4

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mariners	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	7	0
Rays	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	X	4	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mariners scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.5

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Rays defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Rays offense × Mariners defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 57% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

71%

+15pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

64%

+8pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 460Runs Allowed 508

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 535Runs Allowed 431

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#230% 32/108	19% 21/108	#137% 40/108	24% 26/108	27% 29/108	25% 27/108	27% 29/108	#328% 29/104	27% 21/78	92% 11/12
Mariners	RA	26% 28/108	#233% 36/108	#332% 35/108	31% 33/108	#139% 42/108	23% 25/108	24% 26/107	28% 29/104	26% 21/81	50% 6/12
Rays	R	#333% 36/108	17% 18/108	26% 28/108	28% 30/108	#234% 37/108	31% 33/108	30% 32/106	28% 30/106	#138% 30/79	39% 9/23
Rays	RA	24% 26/108	21% 23/108	#231% 33/108	#131% 34/108	#325% 27/108	23% 25/108	21% 23/108	18% 19/106	15% 14/92	65% 15/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.