Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-08-0307:05Nationals Park

Phillies

Away

7-5

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	5	7	12	0
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	5	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.9

Phillies scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 23%

Opponent allowing 38%

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 54%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 80% · Season 65% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

69%

+14pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+1pp

7–9 Late

64%

+11pp

F5 first five

65%

+10pp

F9 full game

63%

+8pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 478Runs Allowed 498

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 460Runs Allowed 487

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#132% 34/105	#329% 30/105	26% 27/105	26% 27/105	27% 28/105	#230% 31/105	23% 24/104	27% 27/101	22% 17/76	73% 8/11
Phillies	RA	29% 30/105	25% 26/105	#332% 34/105	19% 20/105	23% 24/105	30% 31/105	28% 29/104	#134% 34/101	#232% 24/74	45% 5/11
Nationals	R	#136% 38/105	24% 25/105	#232% 34/105	#330% 32/105	19% 20/105	24% 25/104	21% 21/102	28% 27/95	25% 18/72	57% 4/7
Nationals	RA	#232% 34/105	21% 22/105	26% 27/105	#133% 35/105	30% 31/105	28% 29/104	29% 30/104	28% 27/95	#330% 21/69	86% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.