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Final
2021-08-0207:08Tropicana Field
2-3
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 60% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+11pp
7–9 Late
45%
-8pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
0265278105846416457253473595847653557706353776345819349181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 528Runs Allowed 479

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
021426385684814435249613496146248560436573676234857199203210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 528Runs Allowed 417
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#235% 37/106#333% 35/10629% 31/10631% 33/10631% 33/10632% 34/10523% 24/103#136% 35/9818% 13/7164% 9/14
RA#235% 37/10632% 34/10622% 23/10632% 34/10628% 30/106#138% 40/10622% 23/10422% 22/98#332% 26/8150% 7/14
RaysR#233% 35/10517% 18/10526% 27/10527% 28/105#333% 35/10531% 33/10531% 32/10329% 30/103#139% 30/7739% 9/23
RA25% 26/10521% 22/105#130% 32/105#230% 31/105#326% 27/10523% 24/10520% 21/10518% 19/10316% 14/8965% 15/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.