Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-2504:10Truist Park

Nationals

Away

2-1

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	6	1
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Braves scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Braves offense × Nationals defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

53%

+1pp

F5 first five

57%

+4pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 286Runs Allowed 301

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 281Runs Allowed 178

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#234% 18/53	25% 13/53	30% 16/53	#136% 19/53	30% 16/53	30% 16/53	#332% 17/53	28% 15/53	21% 9/43	57% 8/14
Nationals	RA	26% 14/53	28% 15/53	#136% 19/53	#236% 19/53	34% 18/53	21% 11/53	#336% 19/53	30% 16/53	32% 14/44	71% 10/14
Braves	R	#336% 19/53	#238% 20/53	26% 14/53	28% 15/53	30% 16/53	23% 12/53	15% 8/53	34% 18/53	#142% 17/40	80% 4/5
Braves	RA	#328% 15/53	19% 10/53	19% 10/53	#230% 16/53	25% 13/53	25% 13/53	9% 5/53	#132% 17/53	13% 6/46	60% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.