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Final
2021-08-0106:10Tropicana Field
5-9
Rays
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Red Sox300020000582
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+12pp
7–9 Late
46%
-7pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
0255176102816216457253463595647453557696353776342819349181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 523Runs Allowed 470

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

104 games
020416283664514435248613476146246559436573675934857199203210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 519Runs Allowed 412
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#234% 36/105#333% 35/10530% 31/10531% 33/10530% 32/10533% 34/10424% 24/102#136% 35/9719% 13/7064% 9/14
RA#234% 36/105#332% 34/10521% 22/10531% 33/10529% 30/105#137% 39/10522% 23/10322% 21/9732% 26/8150% 7/14
RaysR#333% 34/10417% 18/10425% 26/10426% 27/104#234% 35/10431% 32/10431% 32/10228% 29/102#139% 30/7739% 9/23
RA24% 25/10421% 22/104#131% 32/104#230% 31/104#325% 26/10423% 24/10420% 21/10419% 19/10216% 14/8865% 15/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.