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Final
2021-07-3107:10Tropicana Field
3-7
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.2
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+8pp
7–9 Late
47%
-6pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

104 games
0255176102816016457253443575447352557696353776342819349181410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 520Runs Allowed 463

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

103 games
020406080644514435246613455946145559436573675934857199203210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 512Runs Allowed 409
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#235% 36/104#334% 35/10430% 31/10431% 32/10430% 31/10433% 34/10324% 24/101#136% 35/9619% 13/6964% 9/14
RA#234% 35/104#333% 34/10420% 21/10431% 32/10428% 29/104#138% 39/10423% 23/10222% 21/9632% 26/8150% 7/14
RaysR#332% 33/10317% 18/10324% 25/10325% 26/103#233% 34/10331% 32/10332% 32/10129% 29/101#139% 30/7739% 9/23
RA#324% 25/10321% 22/103#131% 32/103#229% 30/10324% 25/10323% 24/10320% 21/10319% 19/10116% 14/8765% 15/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.