Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-3107:10Citi Field

Reds

Away

6-2

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	3	6	10	0
Mets	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

44%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 42%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 37%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Reds scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Mets defense

44%R 47% · RA 42%

Mets offense × Reds defense

28%R 20% · RA 37%

Sample 10Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 73% · Season 54% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-4pp

7–9 Late

66%

+13pp

F5 first five

54%

-1pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

103 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 504Runs Allowed 512

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

102 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 395Runs Allowed 392

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#330% 31/103	28% 29/103	#233% 34/103	22% 23/103	28% 29/103	25% 25/102	#133% 34/102	26% 26/101	25% 20/79	79% 15/19
Reds	RA	#136% 37/103	25% 26/103	24% 25/103	28% 29/103	#329% 30/103	26% 27/102	25% 26/102	#230% 30/101	27% 22/82	58% 11/19
Mets	R	25% 26/102	13% 13/102	25% 26/102	25% 26/102	27% 28/102	23% 23/102	#134% 33/96	#229% 24/84	#328% 17/61	62% 5/8
Mets	RA	22% 22/102	25% 25/102	21% 21/102	19% 19/102	#229% 30/102	#130% 31/102	22% 22/98	25% 21/84	#329% 18/63	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.