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Final
2026-05-2502:20Wrigley Field
Astros
Away
8-5
Cubs
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Astros011050001890
Cubs030000200570

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.2
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cooling downCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Cubs defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Astros defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 68% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
38%
-14pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
46%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games
0163350673628120262283232336434535231861740726188131995610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 225Runs Allowed 276

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
0102132431920125312342133231424315303062817727288241395310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 248Runs Allowed 225
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#138% 20/5323% 12/53#330% 16/5319% 10/53#238% 20/5319% 10/5323% 12/5326% 14/5314% 6/42100% 4/4
RA#332% 17/5330% 16/5326% 14/5332% 17/53#143% 23/5321% 11/5332% 17/5323% 12/53#234% 13/3850% 2/4
CubsR17% 9/5229% 15/5229% 15/52#331% 16/5225% 13/5229% 15/5229% 15/52#233% 17/52#135% 14/4071% 5/7
RA21% 11/52#133% 17/5227% 14/5229% 15/5231% 16/52#233% 17/5217% 9/52#333% 17/5220% 8/4029% 2/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.