Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-2907:10Citi Field

Braves

Away

1-2

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	9	0
Mets	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	X	2	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Braves scoring tendency

49%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 55%

Mets scoring tendency

24%

Own scoring 22%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.6

Braves scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.4

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mets defense

49%R 43% · RA 55%

Mets offense × Braves defense

24%R 22% · RA 25%

Sample 9Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 72% · Season 55% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

63%

+7pp

7–9 Late

60%

+7pp

F5 first five

53%

-2pp

F9 full game

57%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

102 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 487Runs Allowed 443

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 390Runs Allowed 385

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#334% 35/102	20% 20/102	31% 32/102	24% 24/102	#235% 36/102	#138% 39/102	31% 31/101	24% 22/90	26% 18/70	36% 4/11
Braves	RA	#231% 32/102	20% 20/102	28% 29/102	25% 26/102	28% 29/102	25% 25/102	#132% 32/100	#330% 27/90	26% 19/72	82% 9/11
Mets	R	26% 26/100	13% 13/100	24% 24/100	26% 26/100	27% 27/100	23% 23/100	#134% 32/94	#229% 24/82	#328% 17/60	62% 5/8
Mets	RA	22% 22/100	25% 25/100	21% 21/100	18% 18/100	#329% 29/100	#130% 30/100	23% 22/96	24% 20/82	#230% 18/61	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.