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Final
2021-07-2708:05Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
5-6
Cubs
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Reds0111200005110
Cubs201000111X6121

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Reds scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 38%
Cubs scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 16%
Heating upCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.7
Reds scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
44%R 50% · RA 38%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
27%R 38% · RA 16%
Sample 13Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 71% · Season 41% · +30pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-6pp
7–9 Late
59%
+7pp
F5 first five
53%
-2pp
F9 full game
55%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

99 games
021436587565815134263513386945349541596624375263835419262910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 477Runs Allowed 496

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games
01939597959601425025845350624434754963643487413682820981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 421Runs Allowed 442
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR#329% 29/9926% 26/99#231% 31/9922% 22/9927% 27/9923% 23/98#134% 33/9826% 25/9724% 18/7579% 15/19
RA#135% 35/9926% 26/9924% 24/9928% 28/99#329% 29/9928% 27/9826% 25/98#230% 29/9723% 18/7858% 11/19
CubsR#330% 30/10026% 26/100#134% 34/100#234% 34/10025% 25/10025% 25/10024% 24/9924% 24/9921% 15/7367% 6/9
RA26% 26/10023% 23/100#329% 29/100#231% 31/10027% 27/100#132% 32/10025% 25/10012% 12/9914% 10/7189% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.