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Final
2021-07-2602:20Wrigley Field
1-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.9
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 33%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 44%
Heating upCombined vs league +23pp
#3
Inn.7
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Diamondbacks offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Diamondbacks defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
59%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Diamondbacks — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

100 games
0255177103387514860240673345545849551516638075082821359181310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 421Runs Allowed 567

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

99 games
01939597956601425025845348624434754963643487413682819981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 416Runs Allowed 441
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
DiamondbacksR17% 17/10024% 24/10022% 22/10023% 23/100#130% 30/100#328% 28/100#230% 30/10027% 26/9820% 16/8155% 6/11
RA#334% 34/10033% 33/10034% 34/10032% 32/10025% 25/10029% 29/100#141% 41/100#238% 37/9833% 21/6391% 10/11
CubsR#329% 29/9926% 26/99#134% 34/99#233% 33/9925% 25/9925% 25/9924% 24/9824% 24/9821% 15/7367% 6/9
RA26% 26/9923% 23/99#329% 29/99#231% 31/9927% 27/99#132% 32/9925% 25/9912% 12/9813% 9/7089% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.