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Final
2021-07-2507:10Citi Field
10-3
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays00303010310170
Mets0000300003140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 8%
Opponent allowing 55%
Mets scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Mets defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 54% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
57%
+5pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
02244668961471624627145349394534656037635407425283626981910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 477Runs Allowed 397

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
01633506750431224423932344384434954643653327394282927911710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 376Runs Allowed 357
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#332% 30/93#135% 33/93#235% 33/9326% 24/9332% 30/9332% 30/9326% 24/9132% 27/8425% 17/6755% 6/11
RA#327% 25/9326% 24/9324% 22/9323% 21/93#231% 29/9323% 21/9324% 22/91#132% 27/8423% 15/6655% 6/11
MetsR27% 26/9513% 12/9524% 23/9527% 26/9525% 24/9523% 22/95#134% 31/90#230% 24/79#329% 17/5862% 5/8
RA22% 21/9525% 24/9519% 18/9517% 16/95#129% 28/95#229% 28/9523% 21/9124% 19/79#329% 17/5862% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.