Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-2506:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Nationals

Away

3-5

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	5	0
Orioles	1	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	X	5	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 60%

Sustained highCombined vs league +31pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 22%

Opponent allowing 57%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Orioles defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Orioles offense × Nationals defense

45%R 30% · RA 60%

Sample 20Combined vs league +31pp

Last 20 85% · Season 61% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

72%

+17pp

7–9 Late

59%

+6pp

F5 first five

68%

+13pp

F9 full game

64%

+10pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 418Runs Allowed 441

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 398Runs Allowed 531

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#135% 34/96	22% 21/96	#232% 31/96	#331% 30/96	20% 19/96	24% 23/95	19% 18/93	28% 24/87	24% 16/66	57% 4/7
Nationals	RA	#130% 29/96	22% 21/96	26% 25/96	#230% 29/96	#330% 29/96	27% 26/95	29% 28/95	28% 24/87	30% 19/63	86% 6/7
Orioles	R	#132% 31/96	20% 19/96	28% 27/96	#329% 28/96	29% 28/96	23% 22/96	23% 22/96	#232% 29/91	19% 15/78	75% 6/8
Orioles	RA	31% 30/96	28% 27/96	#139% 37/96	32% 31/96	33% 32/96	#234% 33/96	28% 26/94	#334% 31/91	29% 18/63	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.