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Final
2021-07-2502:20Wrigley Field
7-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Diamondbacks000020302790
Cubs001100001370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.7
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.9
Diamondbacks scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 27%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Diamondbacks offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Diamondbacks defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 75% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+5pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Diamondbacks — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

99 games
0255177103387514860240663345445649551516608075082819349181310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 414Runs Allowed 564

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

98 games
01939597956601425025745347624434554963643457413682717981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 413Runs Allowed 434
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
DiamondbacksR17% 17/9924% 24/9922% 22/9923% 23/99#129% 29/99#328% 28/99#229% 29/9927% 26/9719% 15/8055% 6/11
RA#334% 34/9933% 33/9933% 33/9931% 31/9925% 25/9929% 29/99#141% 41/99#238% 37/9732% 20/6291% 10/11
CubsR#330% 29/9827% 26/98#134% 33/98#233% 32/9826% 25/9826% 25/9825% 24/9725% 24/9719% 14/7267% 6/9
RA27% 26/9823% 23/98#330% 29/98#232% 31/9827% 26/98#133% 32/9824% 24/9812% 12/9712% 8/6989% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.