Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-2407:10Citi Field

Blue Jays

Away

0-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Blue Jays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0
Mets	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	X	3	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Blue Jays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.9

Blue Jays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 9%

Opponent allowing 60%

Mets scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 33%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.6

Blue Jays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Mets defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Blue Jays defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 68% · Season 54% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+3pp

7–9 Late

59%

+6pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

59%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 477Runs Allowed 394

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 373Runs Allowed 357

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Blue Jays	R	#333% 30/92	#136% 33/92	#236% 33/92	26% 24/92	33% 30/92	33% 30/92	27% 24/90	33% 27/83	26% 17/66	55% 6/11
Blue Jays	RA	#326% 24/92	26% 24/92	24% 22/92	23% 21/92	#132% 29/92	23% 21/92	24% 22/90	#231% 26/83	23% 15/66	55% 6/11
Mets	R	27% 25/94	13% 12/94	24% 23/94	28% 26/94	26% 24/94	23% 22/94	#135% 31/89	#229% 23/78	#329% 17/58	62% 5/8
Mets	RA	22% 21/94	26% 24/94	19% 18/94	17% 16/94	#230% 28/94	#330% 28/94	23% 21/90	24% 19/78	#130% 17/57	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.