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Final
2021-07-2407:10Great American Ball Park
5-6
Reds
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Cardinals110003000592
Reds20010021X6140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 21%
Reds scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
17%
Own scoring 23%
Opponent allowing 11%
Reds scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 29%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Reds defense
31%R 40% · RA 21%
Reds offense × Cardinals defense
39%R 47% · RA 30%
Sample 19Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 69% · Season 52% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
45%
-10pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
01836547353491454725850332474554654055631517254583129915210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.32.02.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 385Runs Allowed 421

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games
019395979515514932263513376245249540566564375161835409262910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 460Runs Allowed 478
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#231% 30/97#331% 30/97#133% 32/9720% 19/9725% 24/9721% 20/9720% 19/9619% 18/9324% 17/7086% 6/7
RA27% 26/9722% 21/9727% 26/9727% 26/97#228% 27/97#130% 29/97#327% 26/9626% 24/9319% 13/6814% 1/7
RedsR#328% 27/9626% 25/96#132% 31/9622% 21/9627% 26/9623% 22/95#232% 30/9526% 24/9424% 18/7479% 15/19
RA#134% 33/9625% 24/9625% 24/9628% 27/96#230% 29/9627% 26/9526% 25/95#330% 28/9423% 17/7558% 11/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.