Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-2407:05Citizens Bank Park

Braves

Away

1-5

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1
Phillies	1	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	X	5	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.6

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Braves scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Phillies scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Phillies defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Phillies offense × Braves defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 68% · Season 63% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+1pp

7–9 Late

53%

+0pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 456Runs Allowed 427

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 429Runs Allowed 445

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#334% 33/96	19% 18/96	29% 28/96	23% 22/96	#238% 36/96	#139% 37/96	33% 31/95	24% 21/86	24% 16/66	36% 4/11
Braves	RA	#132% 31/96	21% 20/96	#329% 28/96	25% 24/96	27% 26/96	25% 24/96	#232% 30/95	29% 25/86	27% 19/70	82% 9/11
Phillies	R	#133% 31/95	#231% 29/95	27% 26/95	23% 22/95	24% 23/95	#329% 28/95	22% 21/94	24% 22/92	21% 15/70	73% 8/11
Phillies	RA	27% 26/95	22% 21/95	#331% 29/95	20% 19/95	24% 23/95	#232% 30/95	29% 27/94	#135% 32/92	28% 19/67	45% 5/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.