Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-2208:10

Guardians

Away

5-4

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Guardians	0	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	5	8	1
Astros	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	4	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

55%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 70%

Sustained highCombined vs league +36pp

Inn.5

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.6

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Astros defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Astros offense × Guardians defense

55%R 40% · RA 70%

Sample 20Combined vs league +36pp

Last 20 90% · Season 66% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

77%

+21pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

64%

+9pp

F9 full game

59%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 396Runs Allowed 417

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 517Runs Allowed 381

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Guardians	R	#332% 29/92	25% 23/92	25% 23/92	26% 24/92	24% 22/92	#143% 40/92	19% 17/90	#235% 29/84	27% 18/67	62% 5/8
Guardians	RA	29% 27/92	30% 28/92	#138% 35/92	#238% 35/92	24% 22/92	20% 18/92	#331% 28/90	17% 14/84	22% 14/63	38% 3/8
Astros	R	32% 31/96	28% 27/96	25% 24/96	#144% 42/96	30% 29/96	26% 25/96	#333% 32/96	24% 23/94	#235% 24/68	62% 8/13
Astros	RA	23% 22/96	17% 16/96	#329% 28/96	25% 24/96	#131% 30/96	24% 23/96	27% 26/95	#231% 29/94	21% 17/81	77% 10/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.