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Final
2021-07-2200:10Tropicana Field
4-5
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles101101000492
Rays110010002X590

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
40%R 25% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+9pp
7–9 Late
53%
-0pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
02551761025062132512568134256446645315863551760608303396910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 388Runs Allowed 525

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
018375675574314034242543435746043546396553575831844189193010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 464Runs Allowed 384
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#232% 30/9420% 19/9428% 26/9428% 26/94#329% 27/9421% 20/9422% 21/94#133% 29/8919% 15/7775% 6/8
RA31% 29/9428% 26/94#139% 37/9432% 30/9433% 31/94#235% 33/9428% 26/92#335% 31/8928% 17/6162% 5/8
RaysR31% 29/9517% 16/9524% 23/9525% 24/95#235% 33/9531% 29/95#332% 30/9330% 28/93#137% 26/7038% 8/21
RA#324% 23/9522% 21/95#131% 29/95#229% 28/9524% 23/9522% 21/9521% 20/9518% 17/9316% 13/8067% 14/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.