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Final
2021-07-2107:20Truist Park
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 21%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Braves defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Padres defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
60%
+7pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games
021426385584214644243483483844253568496562974639846209161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 469Runs Allowed 373

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

92 games
02041628366581342724347348424595556250646537534082128981510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 440Runs Allowed 415
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR30% 29/9628% 27/9625% 24/9627% 26/9622% 21/96#136% 34/95#333% 31/9526% 24/94#235% 22/6353% 8/15
RA23% 22/9624% 23/96#228% 27/9627% 26/96#129% 28/9626% 25/9520% 19/95#328% 26/9419% 15/7747% 7/15
BravesR#335% 32/9217% 16/9229% 27/9223% 21/92#139% 36/92#237% 34/9234% 31/9125% 21/8423% 15/6536% 4/11
RA#133% 30/9221% 19/92#330% 28/9224% 22/9227% 25/9226% 24/92#231% 28/9130% 25/8428% 19/6882% 9/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.