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Final
2021-07-2107:10Tropicana Field
3-9
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles010000020362
Rays20120004X9104

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 55% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+9pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
61%
+6pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

93 games
02550751005060131512568034254446645315863551758568303396910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 385Runs Allowed 516

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

94 games
018375675554314033241543415746043546396553575429844189193010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 455Runs Allowed 381
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#132% 30/9319% 18/9328% 26/9328% 26/93#329% 27/9322% 20/9323% 21/93#232% 28/8820% 15/7675% 6/8
RA30% 28/9328% 26/93#139% 36/9331% 29/9333% 31/93#235% 33/9329% 26/91#334% 30/8828% 17/6162% 5/8
RaysR30% 28/9417% 16/9423% 22/9424% 23/94#235% 33/9431% 29/94#333% 30/9229% 27/92#137% 26/7038% 8/21
RA#324% 23/9421% 20/94#131% 29/94#230% 28/9424% 23/9422% 21/9421% 20/9417% 16/9216% 13/7967% 14/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.