Sportify
Final
2021-07-1903:05Nationals Park
Padres
Away
7-8
Team123456789RHE
Padres000300121760
Nationals004000031X8151

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
52%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +37pp
#2
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +31pp
#3
Inn.9
Padres scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 46%
Opponent allowing 54%
Nationals scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 19%
Opponent allowing 22%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Nationals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Nationals offense × Padres defense
52%R 60% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +37pp
Last 20 95% · Season 61% · +34pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
70%
+15pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+11pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
70%
+15pp
F9 full game
65%
+10pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
021426385584214644243443453844253568496552974436845199161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 462Runs Allowed 365

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games
0214263856858135472524935552432585464462644742398212297810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 384Runs Allowed 421
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR31% 29/9528% 27/9525% 24/9526% 25/9522% 21/95#136% 34/94#332% 30/9425% 23/93#234% 21/6253% 8/15
RA23% 22/9524% 23/95#227% 26/95#327% 26/95#129% 28/9527% 25/9420% 19/9427% 25/9318% 14/7647% 7/15
NationalsR#136% 33/9121% 19/91#233% 30/91#331% 28/9119% 17/9124% 22/9019% 17/8827% 22/8224% 15/6367% 4/6
RA#132% 29/9123% 21/9127% 25/9129% 26/91#231% 28/9127% 24/9029% 26/9027% 22/82#331% 18/5983% 5/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.