Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-1807:20Truist Park

Rays

Away

0-9

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1
Braves	0	0	0	6	1	2	0	0	X	9	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Braves scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.9

Rays scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 62%

Opponent allowing 29%

Braves scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 24%

Opponent allowing 7%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Braves defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Braves offense × Rays defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp

Last 20 62% · Season 61% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-0pp

7–9 Late

55%

+3pp

F5 first five

52%

-3pp

F9 full game

54%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

91 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 447Runs Allowed 361

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 426Runs Allowed 408

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	31% 28/91	18% 16/91	24% 22/91	25% 23/91	#235% 32/91	30% 27/91	#333% 29/89	30% 27/89	#139% 26/67	38% 8/21
Rays	RA	23% 21/91	22% 20/91	#132% 29/91	#229% 26/91	#324% 22/91	20% 18/91	21% 19/91	18% 16/89	17% 13/77	67% 14/21
Braves	R	#334% 31/90	18% 16/90	30% 27/90	21% 19/90	#139% 35/90	#236% 32/90	34% 30/89	26% 21/82	23% 15/64	36% 4/11
Braves	RA	#133% 30/90	21% 19/90	#231% 28/90	24% 22/90	27% 24/90	26% 23/90	30% 27/89	#330% 25/82	29% 19/66	82% 9/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.