Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-1707:20Truist Park

Rays

Away

7-6

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Rays	0	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	1	7	12	0
Braves	0	0	0	3	2	0	1	0	0	0	6	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Braves defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Braves offense × Rays defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-4pp

7–9 Late

51%

-1pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 440Runs Allowed 355

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 420Runs Allowed 401

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	31% 28/90	17% 15/90	24% 22/90	26% 23/90	#234% 31/90	30% 27/90	#332% 28/88	30% 26/88	#139% 26/66	35% 7/20
Rays	RA	#323% 21/90	22% 20/90	#132% 29/90	#228% 25/90	23% 21/90	20% 18/90	20% 18/90	18% 16/88	17% 13/76	70% 14/20
Braves	R	#335% 31/89	18% 16/89	30% 27/89	20% 18/89	#138% 34/89	#236% 32/89	33% 29/88	26% 21/81	24% 15/63	40% 4/10
Braves	RA	#134% 30/89	20% 18/89	#231% 28/89	25% 22/89	26% 23/89	26% 23/89	30% 26/88	#330% 24/81	29% 19/65	80% 8/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.