#1
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +22pp
Scoring Analysis
H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
Scoring hotspots
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.
#2
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#3
Inn.9
Padres scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 46%
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 22%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies
Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split
Padres offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
+
Nationals offense × Padres defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 80% · Season 58% · +22pp
Game phases
1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+5pp
7–9 Late
59%
+6pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
60%
+6pp
Show team trends+
Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
93 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 428Runs Allowed 353
Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed
89 gamesAvg Runs Trend
Runs 372Runs Allowed 387
Show raw detail and samples+
Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.
| Team | Item | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | R | 29% 27/93 | 27% 25/93 | 24% 22/93 | 26% 24/93 | 22% 20/93 | #135% 32/92 | #332% 29/92 | 24% 22/91 | #233% 20/60 | 53% 8/15 |
| RA | 22% 20/93 | 25% 23/93 | #327% 25/93 | 27% 25/93 | #130% 28/93 | 26% 24/92 | 21% 19/92 | #227% 25/91 | 19% 14/74 | 47% 7/15 | |
| Nationals | R | #135% 31/89 | 21% 19/89 | #233% 29/89 | #330% 27/89 | 19% 17/89 | 24% 21/88 | 20% 17/86 | 28% 22/80 | 25% 15/61 | 67% 4/6 |
| RA | #130% 27/89 | 21% 19/89 | 26% 23/89 | 28% 25/89 | #230% 27/89 | 25% 22/88 | 28% 25/88 | 26% 21/80 | #330% 17/57 | 83% 5/6 |
Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.