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Final
2021-07-1201:10Tropicana Field
3-1
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 58% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
02040608054371584326443341374524555135635407424983623981910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 441Runs Allowed 371

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
018365472554013833241533414445740544326503375229843189183010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 439Runs Allowed 352
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR33% 28/86#137% 32/86#235% 30/8623% 20/8634% 29/8631% 27/8628% 24/86#334% 27/7927% 17/6355% 6/11
RA#327% 23/8627% 23/8624% 21/8622% 19/86#133% 28/8622% 19/8626% 22/84#232% 25/7921% 13/6255% 6/11
RaysR31% 28/8917% 15/8925% 22/8926% 23/89#235% 31/8930% 27/89#332% 28/8730% 26/87#138% 25/6535% 7/20
RA#324% 21/8922% 20/89#131% 28/89#227% 24/8924% 21/8920% 18/8920% 18/8918% 16/8717% 13/7570% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.