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Final
2021-07-1201:10Citi Field
6-5
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates0000220026150
Mets500000000580

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Pirates scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 21%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 58%
Opponent allowing 32%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 44%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 23%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Mets defense
23%R 25% · RA 21%
Mets offense × Pirates defense
45%R 58% · RA 32%
Sample 19Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 68% · Season 53% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-1pp
7–9 Late
62%
+9pp
F5 first five
50%
-5pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
0224466884970135632313733433427525426563844734438162397610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 313Runs Allowed 436

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games
0153147633932121392343033538440475434065029735378262095510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 328Runs Allowed 317
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#228% 25/8924% 21/8922% 20/8922% 20/8919% 17/89#129% 26/8921% 18/87#324% 20/8214% 10/6962% 5/8
RA#143% 38/89#239% 35/8934% 30/8921% 19/8927% 24/89#335% 31/8929% 25/8725% 21/8321% 11/5338% 3/8
MetsR25% 22/8713% 11/8724% 21/8725% 22/8725% 22/8723% 20/87#135% 29/82#230% 21/71#329% 15/5150% 3/6
RA21% 18/8725% 22/8720% 17/8718% 16/87#131% 27/87#230% 26/8722% 18/8325% 18/71#327% 14/5250% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.