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Final
2021-07-1107:15Wrigley Field
6-0
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 44%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 33% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 25% · RA 44%
Sample 18Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 66% · Season 43% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
51%
-2pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
01734516951491444625349324434504253355627467254483122914210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.52.22.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 352Runs Allowed 398

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
01836547353581404925340343544423854556639417403481516981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 378Runs Allowed 396
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#231% 28/89#133% 29/89#331% 28/8918% 16/8926% 23/8919% 17/8918% 16/8821% 18/8526% 17/6683% 5/6
RA#229% 26/8922% 20/89#328% 25/8926% 23/8928% 25/89#133% 29/8926% 23/8827% 23/8518% 11/6017% 1/6
CubsR#331% 28/8927% 24/89#135% 31/89#233% 29/8927% 24/8925% 22/8925% 22/8826% 23/8816% 10/6475% 6/8
RA27% 24/8925% 22/89#328% 25/89#231% 28/8926% 23/89#133% 29/8925% 22/8912% 11/8811% 7/6388% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.