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Final
2021-07-1101:10Tropicana Field
2-5
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays002000000260
Rays10300001X571

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 53% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
01939587854361584326240341374524555135635407424883623981910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 439Runs Allowed 366

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
018365472544013833238513414445740544326503375129843189183010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 434Runs Allowed 350
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR33% 28/85#138% 32/85#334% 29/8524% 20/8534% 29/8532% 27/8528% 24/85#235% 27/7827% 17/6255% 6/11
RA26% 22/85#327% 23/8524% 20/8522% 19/85#133% 28/8522% 19/8527% 22/83#231% 24/7821% 13/6255% 6/11
RaysR31% 27/8817% 15/8824% 21/8826% 23/88#235% 31/8831% 27/88#333% 28/8629% 25/86#138% 25/6535% 7/20
RA#324% 21/8823% 20/88#131% 27/88#227% 24/8824% 21/8820% 18/8820% 18/8819% 16/8618% 13/7470% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.