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Final
2021-07-1007:10Tropicana Field
1-7
Rays
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Blue Jays001000000151
Rays00210220X780

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 64% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+8pp
7–9 Late
52%
-1pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
01938577754361584326138341364524555133635387424883623981910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 438Runs Allowed 359

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games
018365472544013833236503404445740542326483375129843189183010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 427Runs Allowed 349
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR33% 28/84#138% 32/8433% 28/8424% 20/84#335% 29/8432% 27/8429% 24/84#235% 27/7728% 17/6155% 6/11
RA26% 22/84#327% 23/8423% 19/8421% 18/84#133% 28/8421% 18/8426% 21/82#231% 24/7721% 13/6255% 6/11
RaysR31% 27/8717% 15/8723% 20/8725% 22/87#236% 31/8730% 26/87#332% 27/8529% 25/85#138% 25/6535% 7/20
RA#324% 21/8723% 20/87#130% 26/87#228% 24/8724% 21/8721% 18/8721% 18/8719% 16/8518% 13/7370% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.