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Final
2026-05-2401:10Great American Ball Park
8-1
Reds
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Cardinals0021002128120
Reds010000000121

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Cardinals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 12%
Opponent allowing 46%
Reds scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Reds defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Reds offense × Cardinals defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 69% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
42%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+7pp
7–9 Late
63%
+11pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
012243648242518182278320304342752628621137333881232914510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 219Runs Allowed 224

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
012243648343412432292232738425175231561524728308273299510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 221Runs Allowed 249
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR27% 13/4914% 7/49#235% 17/4924% 12/49#329% 14/4927% 13/4927% 13/49#141% 20/4918% 7/4080% 8/10
RA#235% 17/4922% 11/4912% 6/49#335% 17/4935% 17/4935% 17/4916% 8/4935% 17/49#138% 16/4250% 5/10
RedsR26% 13/5028% 14/5018% 9/50#234% 17/50#332% 16/5028% 14/5016% 8/5032% 16/50#136% 14/3957% 4/7
RA#134% 17/5026% 13/5030% 15/50#234% 17/5022% 11/5020% 10/5030% 15/5030% 15/50#332% 13/4057% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.