Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-0909:10Petco Park

Nationals

Away

8-9

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	3	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	8	11	0
Padres	0	0	0	7	0	1	0	0	1X	9	11	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 60%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +26pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 28%

Padres scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 60%

Opponent allowing 36%

Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Padres scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense

50%R 60% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Nationals defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp

Last 20 85% · Season 58% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

67%

+11pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

63%

+10pp

F5 first five

67%

+12pp

F9 full game

63%

+8pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 356Runs Allowed 360

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 414Runs Allowed 337

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#135% 30/85	22% 19/85	#233% 28/85	#329% 25/85	20% 17/85	25% 21/84	18% 15/82	29% 22/76	25% 14/57	67% 4/6
Nationals	RA	#229% 25/85	20% 17/85	26% 22/85	28% 24/85	#131% 26/85	24% 20/84	#329% 24/84	26% 20/76	29% 16/56	83% 5/6
Padres	R	30% 27/89	27% 24/89	25% 22/89	25% 22/89	22% 20/89	#134% 30/88	#332% 28/88	25% 22/87	#233% 19/57	53% 8/15
Padres	RA	21% 19/89	25% 22/89	27% 24/89	25% 22/89	#130% 27/89	#327% 24/88	19% 17/88	#229% 25/87	19% 13/70	47% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.