Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-0907:10Progressive Field

Royals

Away

4-7

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1	4	8	0
Guardians	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	3X	7	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 60%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.6

Royals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Guardians scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.2

Royals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Guardians defense

40%R 20% · RA 60%

Guardians offense × Royals defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 75% · Season 62% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+10pp

4–6 Middle

69%

+14pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

66%

+11pp

F9 full game

63%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 353Runs Allowed 440

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 356Runs Allowed 384

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	21% 18/86	21% 18/86	#133% 28/86	27% 23/86	#231% 27/86	21% 18/86	#331% 27/86	22% 18/82	28% 18/65	50% 1/2
Royals	RA	35% 30/86	28% 24/86	31% 27/86	#236% 31/86	34% 29/86	34% 29/86	22% 19/85	#137% 30/82	#335% 21/60	50% 1/2
Guardians	R	#233% 28/84	26% 22/84	27% 23/84	25% 21/84	21% 18/84	#144% 37/84	17% 14/82	#332% 24/76	25% 15/60	62% 5/8
Guardians	RA	29% 24/84	32% 27/84	#138% 32/84	#237% 31/84	23% 19/84	19% 16/84	#333% 27/82	17% 13/76	19% 11/57	38% 3/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.