Sportify
Final
2021-07-0810:10Petco Park
15-5
Padres
Home
Team123456789RHE
Nationals34210004115170
Padres0000110035113

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 24%
Padres scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 58% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-0pp
7–9 Late
60%
+8pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
0183654735849131342444134844432555423262241738348191797810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 341Runs Allowed 355

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

88 games
017345169533213739240363363244051555456522774032840179161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 409Runs Allowed 322
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#135% 29/8421% 18/84#232% 27/84#329% 24/8420% 17/8425% 21/8319% 15/8128% 21/7523% 13/5667% 4/6
RA#130% 25/8420% 17/8426% 22/8429% 24/84#230% 25/8423% 19/83#329% 24/8327% 20/7527% 15/5583% 5/6
PadresR31% 27/8827% 24/8825% 22/8825% 22/8822% 19/88#133% 29/87#232% 28/8726% 22/86#332% 18/5653% 8/15
RA20% 18/8824% 21/8826% 23/8824% 21/88#131% 27/88#328% 24/8720% 17/87#228% 24/8617% 12/6947% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.