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Final
2021-07-0808:05Wrigley Field
3-8
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.2
Phillies scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
54%
+1pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
01939587851461453323937337334394454341634497426282733913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 370Runs Allowed 386

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
01836547347581384825337342544423654253634377393481513981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 360Runs Allowed 380
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#131% 26/83#329% 24/8327% 22/8324% 20/8325% 21/83#231% 26/8322% 18/8322% 18/8223% 14/6178% 7/9
RA27% 22/8319% 16/8328% 23/8319% 16/8324% 20/83#231% 26/83#330% 25/82#138% 31/8228% 17/6044% 4/9
CubsR#330% 26/8627% 23/86#136% 31/86#233% 28/8628% 24/8624% 21/8625% 21/8526% 22/8516% 10/6375% 6/8
RA#328% 24/8624% 21/8627% 23/86#133% 28/8626% 22/86#233% 28/8624% 21/8613% 11/8510% 6/6088% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.