Sportify
Final
2021-07-0710:10Petco Park
4-7
Padres
Home
Team123456789RHE
Nationals000031000480
Padres00033010X7140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
48%R 60% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp
Last 20 85% · Season 58% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
66%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
63%
+11pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
59%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games
0183654735849131342444134841429525413262240738348191797810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 337Runs Allowed 348

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

87 games
017345169533213739240363333243748555446512774032840179161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 402Runs Allowed 318
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#135% 29/8322% 18/83#233% 27/83#329% 24/8319% 16/8324% 20/8219% 15/8028% 21/7424% 13/5567% 4/6
RA#130% 25/8320% 17/8327% 22/8328% 23/83#229% 24/8323% 19/82#328% 23/8227% 20/7427% 15/5583% 5/6
PadresR31% 27/8728% 24/8725% 22/8724% 21/8721% 18/87#134% 29/86#331% 27/8626% 22/85#232% 18/5653% 8/15
RA21% 18/8724% 21/8726% 23/8724% 21/87#130% 26/87#327% 23/8620% 17/86#228% 24/8518% 12/6847% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.