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Final
2021-07-0708:05Wrigley Field
15-10
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Phillies43020060015160
Cubs00300132110143

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.2
Phillies scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 62% · Season 57% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-5pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
01837567547461423323934335334394454340628467426082732913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 355Runs Allowed 376

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
01734516847541384525037342524423654153631317373481413981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 350Runs Allowed 365
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#230% 25/82#328% 23/8227% 22/8223% 19/8226% 21/82#132% 26/8221% 17/8222% 18/8123% 14/6078% 7/9
RA27% 22/8220% 16/8227% 22/8220% 16/8224% 20/82#230% 25/82#330% 24/81#137% 30/8127% 16/5944% 4/9
CubsR#331% 26/8527% 23/85#135% 30/85#233% 28/8528% 24/8524% 20/8524% 20/8425% 21/8415% 9/6275% 6/8
RA#327% 23/8524% 20/8527% 23/85#232% 27/8526% 22/85#133% 28/8524% 20/8513% 11/8410% 6/5988% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.