Sportify
Final
2021-07-0707:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards
5-7
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays100000112581
Orioles00025000X7110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
71%
+16pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
61%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
01938577750361584326138338344513954933634387404783423981910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 423Runs Allowed 350

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
0234669934655128462497433750439575254863542754548282895610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 346Runs Allowed 460
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR32% 26/82#139% 32/82#234% 28/8223% 19/82#334% 28/8232% 26/8228% 23/8233% 25/7527% 16/5955% 6/11
RA27% 22/82#328% 23/8223% 19/8221% 17/82#132% 26/8222% 18/8226% 21/80#231% 23/7521% 13/6155% 6/11
OriolesR#133% 28/8419% 16/84#329% 24/8426% 22/8429% 24/8420% 17/8425% 21/84#230% 24/7921% 14/6871% 5/7
RA30% 25/8429% 24/84#138% 32/8432% 27/8432% 27/84#335% 29/8427% 22/82#235% 28/7928% 15/5357% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.