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Final
2021-07-0610:10Petco Park
7-5
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals1400001107121
Padres003200000571

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 42%
Padres scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Padres defense
43%R 55% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Nationals defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 58% · +25pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
63%
+10pp
F5 first five
60%
+6pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
0183654725749127342443834839429525413262140737348191797810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 330Runs Allowed 343

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

86 games
017345169533113735237363313243748555446512674031840179161110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 397Runs Allowed 311
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#134% 28/8221% 17/82#233% 27/82#329% 24/8220% 16/8225% 20/8118% 14/7927% 20/7324% 13/5467% 4/6
RA#130% 25/8221% 17/8226% 21/8227% 22/82#229% 24/8223% 19/81#328% 23/8127% 20/7328% 15/5483% 5/6
PadresR31% 27/8628% 24/8624% 21/8623% 20/8621% 18/86#134% 29/85#332% 27/8526% 22/84#233% 18/5553% 8/15
RA20% 17/8623% 20/8627% 23/8624% 21/86#130% 26/86#327% 23/8519% 16/85#227% 23/8418% 12/6747% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.