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Final
2021-07-0608:05Wrigley Field
13-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.2
Phillies scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Cubs defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Phillies defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
01837557447461423223833334334394454140628467365982432913810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 342Runs Allowed 373

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
01734516847541374524936342514423654151631317362881410981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 347Runs Allowed 352
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#131% 25/81#328% 23/8126% 21/8122% 18/8126% 21/81#231% 25/8121% 17/8121% 17/8022% 13/5978% 7/9
RA27% 22/8119% 15/8126% 21/8120% 16/8125% 20/81#231% 25/81#330% 24/80#136% 29/8028% 16/5844% 4/9
CubsR#331% 26/8426% 22/84#135% 29/84#233% 28/8429% 24/8424% 20/8424% 20/8324% 20/8315% 9/6175% 6/8
RA#327% 23/8424% 20/8426% 22/84#231% 26/8426% 22/84#132% 27/8424% 20/8412% 10/839% 5/5888% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.