Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-0607:10Citi Field

Brewers

Away

2-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Brewers	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	0
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	X	4	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Brewers scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.9

Brewers scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 33%

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 12%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.7

Brewers scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 11%

Mets scoring tendency

41%

Own scoring 53%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Brewers offense × Mets defense

43%R 55% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Brewers defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 75% · Season 54% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

42%

-12pp

7–9 Late

55%

+3pp

F5 first five

46%

-8pp

F9 full game

50%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 375Runs Allowed 328

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 301Runs Allowed 295

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Brewers	R	#134% 29/85	24% 20/85	#329% 25/85	21% 18/85	21% 18/85	#231% 26/85	24% 20/85	22% 18/83	29% 18/62	60% 9/15
Brewers	RA	#229% 25/85	#326% 22/85	15% 13/85	24% 20/85	16% 14/85	22% 19/85	25% 21/85	#133% 27/83	15% 10/68	53% 8/15
Mets	R	23% 19/81	14% 11/81	23% 19/81	25% 20/81	27% 22/81	22% 18/81	#134% 26/77	#229% 20/68	#329% 15/51	50% 3/6
Mets	RA	21% 17/81	25% 20/81	20% 16/81	17% 14/81	#130% 24/81	#228% 23/81	19% 15/77	#325% 17/68	24% 12/50	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.