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Final
2021-07-0607:10Tropicana Field
8-9
Rays
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Guardians0001430008130
Rays040101102X9142

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Guardians scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.4
Guardians scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.1
Guardians scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Rays defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Guardians defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 55% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+12pp
7–9 Late
45%
-7pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
58%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
0183756755543126542396034160422305603063249739188251498510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 347Runs Allowed 363

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
017345169514013332233503374345536540296473375129841189183010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 406Runs Allowed 340
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
GuardiansR#235% 28/8126% 21/8128% 23/8125% 20/8121% 17/81#144% 36/8118% 14/79#332% 24/7525% 15/5962% 5/8
RA28% 23/8131% 25/81#138% 31/81#235% 28/8122% 18/8117% 14/81#332% 26/8117% 13/7518% 10/5638% 3/8
RaysR#331% 26/8415% 13/8423% 19/8423% 19/84#236% 30/8429% 24/8431% 26/8430% 25/84#138% 24/6435% 7/20
RA#325% 21/8423% 19/84#131% 26/84#227% 23/8424% 20/8420% 17/8421% 18/8419% 16/8418% 13/7270% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.