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Final
2021-07-0501:20Truist Park
7-8
Braves
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Marlins00010300307120
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Braves defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Braves offense × Marlins defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 78% · Season 59% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-3pp
7–9 Late
42%
-10pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
49%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
0132639532836141342413532530437375402563826742398223299910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 323Runs Allowed 303

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
01939587862521342523943333374535155241642457453681523971410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.51.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 382Runs Allowed 367
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR22% 18/82#227% 22/8222% 18/8218% 15/82#128% 23/8226% 21/82#326% 21/8125% 20/8120% 13/6555% 6/11
RA#228% 23/8218% 15/82#327% 22/8224% 20/82#130% 25/8217% 14/8119% 15/8123% 19/8123% 14/6155% 6/11
BravesR34% 28/8220% 16/8229% 24/8220% 16/82#139% 32/82#235% 29/82#335% 28/8126% 19/7421% 12/5633% 3/9
RA#134% 28/8222% 18/8230% 25/8223% 19/8227% 22/8224% 20/82#331% 25/81#231% 23/7427% 16/6089% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.