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Final
2026-05-2307:15Truist Park
4-5
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.2
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 72% · Season 63% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
61%
+7pp
F9 full game
57%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
013263953422812636222293364243031521316382773535818199121810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 280Runs Allowed 296

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
013263953302914217221123312643720532196147733268341192510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 276Runs Allowed 172
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#135% 18/5125% 13/5131% 16/51#235% 18/5129% 15/5129% 15/51#333% 17/5127% 14/5122% 9/4158% 7/12
RA27% 14/5129% 15/51#137% 19/51#237% 19/51#335% 18/5122% 11/5135% 18/5131% 16/5133% 14/4267% 8/12
BravesR#337% 19/51#239% 20/5127% 14/5129% 15/5131% 16/5124% 12/5114% 7/5135% 18/51#145% 17/3867% 2/3
RA#229% 15/5120% 10/5120% 10/51#329% 15/5124% 12/5124% 12/5110% 5/51#131% 16/5114% 6/4467% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.