Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-07-0307:10Progressive Field

Astros

Away

6-3

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	9	0
Guardians	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 32%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.4

Astros scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 45%

Guardians scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 10%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Guardians defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Guardians offense × Astros defense

26%R 20% · RA 32%

Sample 19Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 71% · Season 56% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+9pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

65%

+10pp

F9 full game

62%

+8pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 461Runs Allowed 329

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 339Runs Allowed 350

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	33% 27/82	32% 26/82	23% 19/82	#146% 38/82	30% 25/82	26% 21/82	#335% 29/82	28% 22/80	#240% 23/58	58% 7/12
Astros	RA	22% 18/82	17% 14/82	#330% 25/82	22% 18/82	#132% 26/82	22% 18/82	26% 21/81	#231% 25/80	25% 17/69	83% 10/12
Guardians	R	#236% 28/78	27% 21/78	29% 23/78	24% 19/78	21% 16/78	#144% 34/78	17% 13/76	#332% 23/72	27% 15/56	71% 5/7
Guardians	RA	28% 22/78	31% 24/78	#138% 30/78	#233% 26/78	23% 18/78	17% 13/78	#333% 26/78	18% 13/72	19% 10/53	29% 2/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.