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Final
2021-07-0307:10Great American Ball Park
Cubs
Away
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Reds
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Reds scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Reds offense × Cubs defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
51%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
01734516846541354424836341504423554149631287362881410981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 342Runs Allowed 344

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

80 games
017355270434614228256453335644739535506423874947828349231910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 398Runs Allowed 402
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#331% 25/8125% 20/81#135% 28/81#233% 27/8130% 24/8125% 20/8125% 20/8025% 20/8016% 9/5875% 6/8
RA#328% 23/8123% 19/8127% 22/81#231% 25/8126% 21/81#132% 26/8122% 18/8112% 10/809% 5/5888% 7/8
RedsR#229% 23/8026% 21/80#135% 28/8022% 18/80#329% 23/8025% 20/7928% 22/7928% 22/7819% 12/6280% 12/15
RA#134% 27/8025% 20/8026% 21/80#230% 24/80#330% 24/8028% 22/7928% 22/7928% 22/7825% 15/6047% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.