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Final
2021-07-0207:20Truist Park
Mets
Away
3-4
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 55%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 32%
Braves scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 21%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Braves defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Mets defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
49%
-6pp
F9 full game
48%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
0132639533328121302312832835437425273363825733368251795510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 278Runs Allowed 279

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games
01836547358511342523941333374525155240641447453681422971410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.51.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 375Runs Allowed 361
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR22% 17/7714% 11/7725% 19/7723% 18/7727% 21/7722% 17/77#133% 24/73#230% 20/66#329% 14/4950% 3/6
RA21% 16/7723% 18/7719% 15/7718% 14/77#129% 22/77#229% 22/7720% 15/74#326% 17/6623% 11/4850% 3/6
BravesR33% 26/7920% 16/7930% 24/7920% 16/79#139% 31/79#237% 29/79#335% 27/7827% 19/7120% 11/5433% 3/9
RA#134% 27/7923% 18/7930% 24/7924% 19/7928% 22/7924% 19/79#331% 24/78#232% 23/7126% 15/5789% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.